每日投行/机构观点梳理（2026-02-11）

Group 1: Gold Market Insights - BNP Paribas predicts gold prices may rise to $6000 per ounce by year-end due to ongoing macroeconomic and geopolitical risks, with a rebound in the gold-silver ratio expected [1] - Wells Fargo views recent gold price corrections as healthy, raising their 2026 gold price target to between $6100 and $6300 per ounce, indicating over 20% upside potential driven by geopolitical risks and strong central bank demand [1] - JPMorgan suggests that if private sector demand continues to grow, gold prices could reach approximately $8000 per ounce by the end of the decade, contingent on a significant increase in investment allocation to gold [1] Group 2: Silver Market Outlook - The Silver Institute forecasts that the silver market will experience a supply gap for the sixth consecutive year in 2026, with a projected shortfall of 67 million ounces, driven by physical supply shortages and geopolitical uncertainties [2] Group 3: U.S. Treasury Market Dynamics - TD Securities reports that foreign buyers' share of U.S. Treasury auctions has increased, alleviating concerns about the loss of the safe-haven status and the impact of large deficits on buyer interest [3] - The report indicates that the share of foreign and international accounts in January reached about 19%, the highest in three years, suggesting a strong ongoing interest in U.S. Treasuries despite market rumors of a sell-off [3] Group 4: UK Government Bonds - Dutch Bank analysts highlight that political instability in the UK may lead investors to demand a risk premium on UK government bonds, despite a slight decrease in yields following recent political reassurances [4] Group 5: Euro Strength and ECB Response - Deutsche Bank notes that the recent strengthening of the euro is driven by external factors beyond the European Central Bank's control, complicating the ECB's ability to respond effectively [5] Group 6: AI and Media Industry Developments - CITIC Securities emphasizes the potential of ByteDance's Seedance 2.0 video model to revolutionize the film industry, particularly in the AI comic drama sector, which is less susceptible to replacement by large models [6] - The report suggests that the demand for tokens in AI comic production is significant, with each production potentially consuming over 100 million tokens, indicating a strategic opportunity for model companies [6] Group 7: Banking Sector Trends - CICC anticipates a slowdown in the expansion of bank balance sheets, aligning with the central bank's focus on quality and efficiency rather than simple quantitative easing [7] Group 8: Photovoltaic Industry Insights - CITIC Securities predicts an acceleration in the "anti-involution" trend within the photovoltaic battery component industry, driven by rising silver prices and a shift towards high-efficiency products [8] Group 9: Gold Investment Trends - Tianfeng Securities forecasts that gold bar and coin consumption in China will surpass jewelry consumption for the first time in 2025, indicating a significant shift in market dynamics [9]