1月核心CPI“温和上涨”

Group 1: Consumer Price Index (CPI) Insights - In January, the national consumer price index (CPI) increased by 0.2% year-on-year, with a core CPI (excluding food and energy) rising by 0.8% [1][2] - The CPI year-on-year growth rate has decreased due to the impact of the Spring Festival timing and a significant drop in energy prices influenced by international oil price fluctuations [2][3] - Food prices fell by 0.7%, contributing to a decrease of approximately 0.11 percentage points in the CPI year-on-year, while service prices increased by 0.1%, adding about 0.05 percentage points to the CPI [2][3] Group 2: Producer Price Index (PPI) Insights - In January, the producer price index (PPI) for industrial producers decreased by 1.4% year-on-year but increased by 0.4% month-on-month, marking the fourth consecutive month of month-on-month increases [4][5] - The increase in PPI is attributed to the ongoing construction of a unified national market, increased demand in certain industries, and the transmission of international commodity prices [4][5] - Specific sectors such as cement manufacturing and lithium-ion battery production saw a month-on-month price increase of 0.1%, while prices for photovoltaic equipment and basic chemical raw materials also turned positive [4] Group 3: Changes in Statistical Base Year - The National Bureau of Statistics has released CPI and PPI data based on a new base year of 2025, marking the first data release following this base year adjustment [6][7] - The average impact of this base year adjustment on the month-on-month CPI and PPI indices is approximately 0.06 and 0.08 percentage points, respectively, which is considered relatively minor [7] - The adjustment aims to enhance the representativeness of the price indices by reflecting the latest changes in consumer spending patterns, including the addition of new categories such as home security devices and internet medical services [7][8]