MRVL Declines 8% in 3 Months: Time to Hold or Fold the Stock?

Core Insights - Marvell Technology (MRVL) shares have declined by 8.2% over the past three months, underperforming compared to its sector and peers like Broadcom, NVIDIA, and Micron Technology [1][10] - The Zacks Electronics - Semiconductors industry has appreciated by 2.7% during the same period, while the broader Computer and Technology sector remained unchanged [2] Financial Performance - Marvell Technology's revenue guidance for Q4 FY26 is set at $2.2 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 21%, which indicates a slowdown compared to previous quarters [6][10] - The company has experienced a declining trend in top-line growth over the past three quarters [6] - Data center revenues are expected to grow by 20% year-over-year in Q4, but this also suggests a deceleration in growth over the past six quarters [7] Competitive Landscape - The presence of competitors like Broadcom and Astera Labs in the AI connectivity space is contributing to the deceleration in Marvell's growth [7] - Broadcom is noted for its strengths in networking and data center solutions, which may impact Marvell's market position [8] Strategic Initiatives - Marvell is expanding its portfolio with new technologies, including a co-packaged copper system and next-generation 200G per lane 1.6T PAM DSPs, which are expected to support growth [9][10] - The company has launched the Golden Cable initiative to enhance the Active Electrical Cable ecosystem, aimed at accelerating AI infrastructure deployment [10] Partnerships and Collaborations - Marvell has formed partnerships with major players like Amazon and Microsoft to enhance its AI product offerings [12] - Collaboration with Micron Technology focuses on HBM design and integration for AI compute platforms [13] - A partnership with NVIDIA aims to integrate NVLink Fusion technology into Marvell's custom cloud-platform silicon solutions [14] Cost Management and Earnings Growth - Marvell has managed to keep operating expenses low, with a year-over-year increase of only 4%, while revenues grew by 37% [15] - The consensus estimate for Marvell's fiscal 2026 earnings suggests an impressive year-over-year growth of 81% [16] Valuation - Marvell stock is currently trading at a forward price-to-earnings (P/S) ratio of 6.87, which is below the industry average of 8.4, indicating potential undervaluation [21] Conclusion - Despite a declining growth rate in revenue, Marvell Technology maintains strong long-term fundamentals supported by its position in the data center and AI sectors, suggesting that investors may consider holding the stock for now [21]