特朗普新考验：共和党领袖未能阻止众院表决是否推翻对加拿大关税

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. House of Representatives is set to vote on whether to overturn President Trump's tariffs on Canada, highlighting divisions within the Republican Party and the potential economic implications of these tariffs [1][2][3]. Group 1: Legislative Actions - The House will vote on a resolution proposed by Representative Gregory Meeks to revoke the tariffs announced by Trump in February 2025 [2]. - Three Republican members joined Democrats to defeat an attempt by House Speaker Mike Johnson to delay the vote until late July, indicating a split within the party [1][2]. - The Senate has already expressed opposition to Trump's tariff policy by passing legislation to abandon the global emergency tariffs and those on Canada and Brazil [2]. Group 2: Economic Implications - The tariffs are viewed as a significant tax burden on American consumers, manufacturers, and farmers, with some lawmakers arguing they have a net negative impact on the economy [1][2]. - The Democratic Party is framing the tariffs as a driver of inflation and a contributor to the cost of living crisis, making it a key campaign issue for the upcoming midterm elections [3]. Group 3: Political Dynamics - The upcoming vote will force House Republicans to choose between loyalty to the President and the economic interests of their constituents, given the slim majority in the House [1][3]. - Even if the House passes the resolution, it is unlikely to force Trump to concede, as any joint resolution would require the President's signature to become law or a two-thirds majority in both chambers to override a veto [3]. Group 4: Trade Agreements - Trump is reportedly considering withdrawing from the USMCA (United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement), which could destabilize one of the largest trade relationships globally, covering approximately $2 trillion in goods and services [5]. - The upcoming mandatory review of the USMCA has turned into a contentious negotiation, particularly with Canada, as the U.S. Trade Representative indicated that negotiations with Canada are more challenging than those with Mexico [5].