Microsoft(US:MSFT) The Motley Fool·2026-02-12 02:30Core Viewpoint - Investor concerns regarding OpenAI and its financial stability have negatively impacted Microsoft's stock performance, presenting a potential buying opportunity for investors [2][4][9] Group 1: Microsoft Stock Performance - Microsoft stock has declined over 20% from its recent high, marking its sharpest decline in several years [2] - The current stock price is $404.60, with a market cap of $3.1 trillion and a gross margin of 68.59% [8] - The stock trades at 25 times earnings, the lowest valuation since late 2022, with analysts projecting earnings growth of 14% to 15% annually over the next three to five years [8] Group 2: OpenAI's Financial Situation - OpenAI is burning through billions and relies on continuous funding from investors, raising concerns about its sustainability [4] - OpenAI's market share is being challenged by competitors like Anthropic and Alphabet, which adds to the risk [4] - The company is in discussions to raise $100 billion to address its near-term financial needs [6] Group 3: Impact on Microsoft's Business - OpenAI accounts for approximately 45% of Microsoft's Azure order backlog, indicating a significant dependency [5] - Despite the challenges with OpenAI, Microsoft reported a strong quarter with its cloud business growing 26% year over year to $51.5 billion [7] - The commercial backlog for Microsoft grew by 110% to $625 billion, highlighting the importance of OpenAI's contributions to Microsoft's cloud business [7] Group 4: Future Outlook - OpenAI continues to lead in the AI application space and is launching new products, which could open up substantial revenue opportunities [6] - The decline in Microsoft's stock may be an overreaction, and confidence in OpenAI's stability could lead to a rebound in Microsoft's stock price [9]