Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-02-12 03:50Core Viewpoint - The engineering machinery sector is experiencing significant growth driven by strong domestic and export demand, with sales data for excavators in January 2026 showing a 49.5% year-on-year increase, indicating a clear improvement in the industry's fundamentals [2][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of February 12, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.02%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.32%, and the ChiNext Index gained 0.48%, with sectors like power equipment and small metals leading the gains [2]. - The Engineering Machinery ETF (E Fund, 159138) saw a rise of 1.27%, with constituent stocks such as Linde Co. (605060.SH) and China National Heavy Duty Truck Group (000951.SZ) increasing by over 5% [2]. Group 2: Industry Demand and Growth Drivers - The demand for engineering machinery is supported by factors such as increased construction activity, a rebound in iron ore and non-ferrous metal mining, and rising forestry investments, alongside a low base from the previous year [3]. - The domestic market is expected to see a mild recovery, bolstered by ongoing equipment renewal policies and the implementation of new industrialization and infrastructure initiatives [3]. Group 3: Global Market Dynamics - The global supply chain for mineral resources is being reshaped by increasing geopolitical tensions, leading to a heightened demand for mining companies to enhance their capital expenditures [3]. - Chinese manufacturers are expected to gain a larger share of the global market due to their cost-effectiveness and customized service capabilities, particularly in the context of the Belt and Road Initiative [3]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The domestic engineering machinery market is projected to continue its mild recovery into 2026, with core product sales expected to remain positive [4]. - The overseas sales growth of engineering machinery is anticipated to remain robust, particularly in Africa and countries along the Belt and Road, although competition and trade barriers may intensify [4].