新国都业绩预告符合预期，股价短期震荡

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that New Guodu's (300130) 2025 performance forecast aligns with market expectations, with a projected net profit attributable to shareholders expected to grow by 70.79%-113.49% year-on-year, primarily benefiting from the growth in payment hardware exports and cross-border payment business [1] - The report maintains a "buy" rating and emphasizes that the company's Hong Kong listing plan is likely to accelerate its global expansion [1] - Current stock price fluctuations are related to market concerns regarding investments in AI technology and the volatility of gross profit margins in domestic acquiring business [1] Group 2 - New Guodu's 2025 performance forecast reveals an expected net profit of 400 million to 500 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 70.79%-113.49%, while the non-recurring net profit is expected to decline by 8.6%-28.91%, mainly due to increased marketing investments in domestic acquiring business and impacts from new business expansion [2] - Based on the latest stock price of 27.07 yuan, the company's price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) is 44.58 times, and the price-to-book ratio is 3.54 times, reflecting market expectations regarding its overseas strategy [2] Group 3 - In the past 7 days, New Guodu's stock price has fluctuated between a decline of 2.87%, with a highest price of 28.28 yuan and a lowest price of 26.11 yuan [3] - On February 12, the stock experienced a single-day drop of 1.13%, with a net outflow of 10.8275 million yuan in main funds and a turnover rate of 0.40%, underperforming the computer sector [3] - Technical analysis indicates that the stock price is near the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, suggesting a continuation of the short-term fluctuation pattern [3]