Group 1 - The EUR/USD currency pair has shown stability, trading around 1.1860 for three consecutive days, with market sentiment being cautious as traders await upcoming U.S. economic data for clearer direction [1] - The recent strengthening of the dollar against the euro is primarily due to changing expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate adjustments, supported by optimistic U.S. employment data [3] - The U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 130,000 in January, significantly above the market expectation of 70,000, while the unemployment rate decreased from 4.4% to 4.3%, contributing to reduced expectations for a loosening of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve [3] Group 2 - Current market expectations indicate a nearly 94% probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain existing interest rates at the next monetary policy meeting, up from 80% the previous day, enhancing the dollar's attractiveness [3] - The European Central Bank's (ECB) stance on interest rates is a crucial support factor for the euro, with increasing market consensus that the ECB will keep rates stable for the remainder of the year [3] - Approximately 85% of economists surveyed in a Reuters poll believe the ECB will maintain its interest rates unchanged throughout 2026, which helps sustain the euro's appeal and mitigates the pressure from the strengthening dollar [4]
IC平台：美国就业数据好于预期 欧元兑美元维持震荡
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-02-12 06:13