持股还是持币过节？机构热议

Group 1 - Investors are debating whether to hold stocks or cash during the upcoming Spring Festival, with discussions on which assets may serve as a "ballast" for wealth in the new era [1] - UBS's China equity strategy head noted that foreign investors' interest in emerging market stocks is expected to rise, indirectly benefiting Chinese stocks [2] - Historical data shows that the Hang Seng Technology Index has averaged a 5.98% increase during the Spring Festival over the past four years, while the Hang Seng Index has averaged a 3.49% increase [2] Group 2 - The Chief Macro Strategist at China Galaxy highlighted that the Hong Kong Stock Connect will be closed for over a week during the Lunar New Year, potentially reducing market liquidity [3] - BlackRock's investment strategist mentioned that infrastructure assets are a good choice for long-term investment, with returns comparable to U.S. large-cap stocks but with significantly lower volatility [4] - The investment environment in China is shifting, with the stock market becoming increasingly attractive as a primary channel for wealth management, potentially replacing real estate [5] Group 3 - The transition from the old paradigm of global trade is slow, with a potential timeframe of 30 to 50 years for significant changes, particularly in capital flows and the role of the U.S. dollar [6] - Key structural themes worth focusing on include power equipment, military, high-end manufacturing, and AI infrastructure suppliers due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and competition between the U.S. and China [6]