土耳其外长警告：美伊核协议“有戏”，但硬要谈导弹恐怕会引爆新战争

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that both the US and Iran appear willing to compromise to reach a nuclear agreement, but expanding negotiations to include Iran's ballistic missile program could lead to further conflict [1][2] - Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan indicated that the US has signaled a willingness to show flexibility on the key issue of halting Iran's uranium enrichment activities, which has been a longstanding obstacle to an agreement [1][2] - Fidan believes that Iran genuinely wants to reach a real agreement and is willing to accept limits on enrichment levels and strict verification mechanisms similar to those in the 2015 agreement [1][2] Group 2 - Recent indirect talks between US officials and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi were described as a positive first step, marking the first discussions since the US's military actions against Iran's nuclear facilities [2] - The initial plan for talks in Istanbul was changed to Oman at Iran's insistence, focusing solely on the nuclear program [2] - President Trump expressed mixed signals regarding the potential scope of an agreement, suggesting that a deal limited to Iran's nuclear program might be acceptable [2][3] Group 3 - Fidan emphasized the importance of addressing Iran's ballistic missile program and support for militant groups, noting that these issues are closely tied to regional security [3] - Concerns were raised about Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu's influence on Trump during his visit to the White House, particularly regarding Israel's military superiority in the region [3] - The 2015 agreement limited Iran's uranium enrichment purity to 3.67% and its enriched uranium stockpile to 300 kilograms, but did not address other issues, allowing Iran to develop its missile program [4] Group 4 - Fidan highlighted the necessity for Iran to build trust with regional partners while negotiating with the US, as there is a significant trust gap among regional countries [5] - The Iranian leadership is aware of the dangers they face following recent conflicts and protests, which were driven largely by economic difficulties [5] - Fidan stated that US military strikes are unlikely to lead to regime change in Iran, suggesting that while the regime may suffer damage, it will continue to operate as a political entity [5]