Core Viewpoint - The company is set to promote sodium batteries on a large scale in commercial vehicles, passenger cars, battery swapping, and energy storage by 2026, which will help popularize electric vehicles in cold regions and activate incremental markets [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Projections - The company is expected to maintain its position as the global leader in battery shipments in 2025, with projected net profits of 695 billion, 908 billion, and 1,120 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-over-year growth of +37%, +31%, and +23% [1]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 15.3, 19.9, and 24.6 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1]. - The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 29, 22, and 18 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a recommendation to buy [1]. Group 2: Product Development and Market Expansion - The company plans to launch sodium batteries in commercial vehicles and passenger cars, with the first commercial vehicle expected to start mass production in July [3]. - The sodium battery features an energy density of 175 Wh/kg and can withstand extreme temperatures, maintaining over 90% usable capacity at -40°C [2]. - The company has multiple cooperation projects for sodium batteries, including a partnership with Changan Automobile for the world's first sodium battery-powered passenger car, which is expected to be launched mid-year [3]. Group 3: Capacity Expansion and Market Demand - The company is actively expanding its production capacity due to high demand, with construction projects valued at 373.66 billion yuan, a 25.6% increase from the end of 2024 [5]. - A cooperation agreement has been signed with the Quanzhou government to establish a new battery production base, expected to commence construction in the second quarter of 2026 [5]. - The company is projected to lead the global market in both power and energy storage battery sales in 2025, with market shares of 39.2% and 30% respectively, and significant year-over-year growth in shipments [4].
群益证券:建议买进宁德时代 钠电池有望激活增量市场