2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao·2026-02-12 09:28Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing a significant influx of southbound capital despite recent declines in the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index, indicating a potential investment opportunity as valuations reach attractive levels [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance and Capital Inflow - From January 29 to February 6, the Hang Seng Index fell by 4.55%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index dropped by 9.39%, yet southbound capital net bought HKD 636.64 billion during this period [1]. - On February 5, a record single-day net purchase of HKD 249.77 billion was noted, the highest since August 2025 [1]. - The increase in southbound capital is attributed to the perceived undervaluation of Hong Kong stocks, which have adjusted from 28,000 points to 26,200 points [1][2]. Group 2: Investment Strategies and Preferences - Southbound capital is focusing on two main types of stocks: technology leaders that are scarce in the A-share market and high-dividend stocks that offer better yields than their A-share counterparts [2][3]. - In 2025, the banking sector saw a net inflow of nearly HKD 210 billion, while tech giants Alibaba and Meituan attracted over HKD 250 billion combined, highlighting a preference for high-growth and dividend-paying stocks [2]. Group 3: Future Market Outlook - Analysts predict that the Hong Kong market has room for valuation recovery, with expectations of a slow bull market supported by increased southbound capital inflow and foreign investment [7][8]. - DBS Bank has raised its 12-month target for the Hang Seng Index to 30,000 points, while HSBC anticipates a target of 31,000 points by the end of 2026, driven by strong earnings growth and structural opportunities [8]. - Investment strategies for 2026 emphasize sectors such as technology, consumer goods, and essential retail, while cautioning against potential risks from geopolitical tensions and inflation [9].