Core Viewpoint - Tungsten, known as "industrial teeth," is experiencing a surge in demand and price due to supply constraints and strong market demand [1][2]. Group 1: Price Increases - The long-term procurement prices for tungsten products have significantly increased, with 55% black tungsten concentrate rising by 28.1% to 670,000 CNY/ton and 55% white tungsten concentrate increasing by 28.2% to 669,000 CNY/ton [2][3]. - Ammonium paratungstate (standard grade zero) long-term procurement price rose by 27.6% to 970,000 CNY/ton [2]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Domestic mining operations are conservatively producing, leading to a weak market increment expectation and further price adjustments for long-term contracts [2]. - The supply side is facing tightening due to stricter safety and environmental regulations, resulting in decreased production and shipments from some mines [2][3]. - Demand remains stable, primarily driven by essential purchases, particularly in the PCB tool sector [2]. Group 3: Future Price Outlook - Institutions are optimistic about the future price of tungsten, with expectations for continued strong performance and new highs [3]. - The global tungsten production is projected to increase from 82,800 tons in 2025 to 89,900 tons by 2028, while demand is expected to rise from 102,100 tons to 110,000 tons, indicating a potential supply-demand gap [3]. Group 4: Stock Market Response - A-share tungsten concept stocks have reacted positively to the price increases and supply-demand changes, with several stocks hitting the daily limit [4]. - Notable performers include Xianglu Tungsten Industry and Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry, both of which saw significant price increases [4][5]. - Xianglu Tungsten Industry has achieved a cumulative increase of 166.32% this year, reflecting strong market interest [5].
供应紧+需求旺,钨价上行动力充足,核心概念股年内股价已翻倍