贺博生：2.13黄金原油大幅回落最新行情走势分析及今日独家操作建议

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The recent decline in gold prices is attributed to macroeconomic data reinforcing high interest rate expectations and tightening market liquidity, leading to concentrated selling [1] - Gold prices fell to around $4910 before rebounding, indicating a volatile market influenced by artificial intelligence-related asset fluctuations and margin pressure on leveraged funds [1] - Short-term gold price movements will be heavily influenced by inflation data and interest rate expectations, with potential for technical recovery if inflation weakens [1] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped to 41.57, indicating a dominant bearish sentiment in the short term [3] - The Average Directional Index (ADX) has risen to 29.25, suggesting an increasing strength in the current downtrend [3] - Key support levels for gold are identified at $4850 and the 200-period moving average at approximately $4956.476, while resistance is noted at the $5000 mark [3] Group 3: Oil Market Analysis - The International Energy Agency (IEA) reported a significant deterioration in the global oil market supply-demand structure, with global oil inventories expected to increase by 477 million barrels by 2025 [4] - The IEA has revised down the global oil demand growth forecast for 2025 to an average of 769,000 barrels per day, reflecting economic uncertainties and high oil prices impacting consumption [4] Group 4: Technical Analysis of Oil - The daily chart indicates that oil prices have ended a series of upward closes, with a large bearish candlestick formation [5] - The MACD indicator remains above the zero line, suggesting a prevailing bullish momentum in the medium term [5] - Short-term trading strategies recommend focusing on buying on dips and selling on rebounds, with resistance levels at $64.0-$65.0 and support at $61.5-$60.5 [5]