Core Viewpoint - The real estate market in China is showing initial signs of stabilization, with a gradual recovery expected despite significant regional disparities [1][5]. Market Performance - In January, the average price of second-hand residential properties in 100 cities decreased by 0.85% month-on-month, a reduction of 0.12 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a weakening of downward momentum [3]. - The transaction volume in 13 key cities for second-hand homes increased by 16% month-on-month and 33% year-on-year, with first-tier cities like Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen seeing over 20% year-on-year growth [3]. - The average price of new homes in 100 cities slightly increased by 0.18% month-on-month, ending a streak of declines and signaling positive market sentiment [3]. Regional Disparities - The market is characterized by significant differentiation, with first-tier and strong second-tier cities recovering faster due to concentrated resources and robust demand, while ordinary second-tier cities are primarily focused on inventory reduction [5]. - The overall price trend shows 27 cities experiencing price increases, 57 cities seeing declines, and 16 cities remaining stable, highlighting the widening gap between premium and ordinary properties [5]. Policy Impact - A combination of policies, including interest rate cuts, relaxed purchase restrictions, and optimized credit conditions, is effectively lowering purchasing costs and stimulating demand [3]. - The second-hand housing market is acting as a barometer, showing early signs of stabilization with reduced panic selling and a gradual restoration of market order [3]. Future Outlook - The recovery of the real estate market is expected to be gradual, with challenges such as inventory digestion, expectation reshaping, and population flow affecting overall rebound [5]. - The market is transitioning from rapid growth to high-quality development, maintaining the principle of "housing is for living, not for speculation" [5]. - The stabilization of prices is seen as a positive starting point for long-term healthy development, with a focus on steady progress rather than explosive growth [5].
全国房价止跌信号初现,二手房价格环比跌幅持续收窄,重点城市成交量显著回升!
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-02-13 05:42