关税战打不败中国,美前财长顾问发文:我刚从中国回来,美国没赢
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-02-13 12:01

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights that the U.S. tariff strategy against China has not yielded the intended results, with the burden of tariffs primarily falling on American consumers and businesses rather than on Chinese exporters [3][5][27]. Group 1: Impact of Tariffs - The report from the New York Federal Reserve and the Congressional Budget Office indicates that 90% of the tariff costs are borne by U.S. consumers and businesses, while foreign exporters only bear less than 5% [3][30]. - In 2025, the average American household spent an additional $1,000 due to tariffs, contributing to a significant financial burden [5]. - Despite the tariffs, U.S.-China trade remained resilient, with the total trade volume reaching 4.01 trillion yuan in 2025, accounting for 8.8% of China's total foreign trade [7][8]. Group 2: China's Trade Resilience - China's foreign trade reached a record high of 45.47 trillion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 3.8%, driven by high-tech product exports which increased by 13.2% [12][15]. - The export of electric vehicles from China saw significant growth, with pure electric vehicle exports rising by 66.7% and plug-in hybrid vehicle exports increasing by 226.5% in 2025 [14]. - China's diversified trade partnerships, including a significant increase in trade with ASEAN and countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative, have mitigated the impact of U.S. tariffs [15][17]. Group 3: U.S. Domestic Challenges - The article emphasizes that the U.S. faces more pressing internal issues, such as outdated infrastructure and supply chain disruptions, which are more challenging to resolve than external trade conflicts [19][21]. - The slow progress of infrastructure projects in the U.S. has been highlighted, with many initiatives facing funding and approval delays [19][21]. - The instability of U.S. trade policies, including frequent changes in tariff regulations, complicates long-term business planning for American companies [23][25]. Group 4: Recommendations for U.S. Policy - The article suggests that the U.S. should focus on improving its domestic conditions, such as infrastructure and supply chain stability, rather than relying on tariffs as a solution [25][27]. - It advocates for a strategic approach to industrial policy, prioritizing key sectors for development similar to China's model, rather than resorting to trade protectionism [25][27].