Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish on McCormick & Company Stock?

Company Overview - McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC) is based in Hunt Valley, Maryland, and specializes in manufacturing, selling, and distributing spices, seasoning mixes, condiments, and other flavorful products, with a market cap of $18.5 billion [1] Stock Performance - MKC shares have underperformed the broader market over the past year, declining 8.6% compared to a 14.4% increase in the S&P 500 Index. However, in 2026, MKC stock has risen 3.6%, outperforming the S&P 500's 1.4% increase year-to-date [2] - Compared to the First Trust Nasdaq Food & Beverage ETF (FTXG), which gained about 6% over the past year and 12.8% year-to-date, MKC's performance has been weaker [3] Financial Performance - MKC's performance has been affected by unexpected commodity inflation and tariff costs, which have offset efficiency gains. Despite growth in both consumer and flavor solutions segments, gross margins have been squeezed [6] - The company reported Q4 results with an adjusted EPS of $0.86, missing Wall Street expectations of $0.87, and revenue of $1.85 billion, falling short of forecasts of $1.86 billion. MKC expects full-year adjusted EPS in the range of $3.05 to $3.13 [7] - For fiscal 2026, analysts expect MKC's EPS to grow 3.3% to $3.10 on a diluted basis. The company's earnings surprise history is mixed, beating consensus estimates in two of the last four quarters while missing forecasts in two others [8] Management Insights - CEO Brendan Foley noted resilient consumer demand and innovation-driven sales growth but acknowledged that ongoing inflationary pressures and ERP costs will constrain profitability. The company anticipates continued volume growth through new products and distribution, although profitability will be impacted by costs and investments [6]