华尔街谨慎看待金价，二季度上涨势头会削弱吗？

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates a decline in the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for January, with the annual rate dropping from 2.7% to 2.4%, marking the lowest level since May 2025 [1] - The core CPI also decreased from 2.6% to 2.5%, reaching the lowest point since March 2021, which has influenced market expectations regarding interest rate adjustments by the Federal Reserve [1] - The probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in June has increased to 69%, up from 63% prior to the data release, reflecting market sentiment towards monetary policy [1] Group 2 - In the gold market, 33% of analysts predict that international gold prices will remain above $5000 per ounce in the coming week, while 25% expect a decline, and 42% foresee a period of consolidation [1] - Among retail traders, 63% anticipate an increase in international gold prices next week, while 20% expect a decrease, and 17% predict stability [1] - Bart Melek, TD Securities' Managing Director and Global Commodity Strategist, suggests that volatility in the precious metals market will become the norm, with a forecasted average gold price of $5000 per ounce for the first quarter [1] Group 3 - Kevin Walsh's appointment as the new Federal Reserve Chairman and the resolution of U.S. trade tariffs are identified as two uncertain factors that could impact international gold prices [2] - There is a divergence in market opinions regarding Walsh's stance, indicating potential volatility in market reactions [2] - A stable resolution to U.S. trade tariffs could negatively affect international gold, silver, and even copper prices [2]