Ge Long Hui·2026-02-14 22:23Group 1: Industry Insights - The growth of online pharmaceutical sales is driven by the penetration of original research drugs and the outflow of prescriptions, with foreign companies increasing their presence in outpatient settings for innovative drugs [1] - Major pharmaceutical e-commerce and internet healthcare platforms are enhancing their product and service offerings around original research drugs, leading to a rapid increase in market share for medical e-commerce [1] - The long-term potential for online pharmacies is significant due to policy-driven factors such as online insurance and prescription outflow, highlighting the cost-effectiveness and convenience of online pharmacies [1] Group 2: Company Performance - Alibaba Health's self-operated revenue is accelerating, with self-operated business accounting for nearly 90% of total revenue, driven by the trend of original research drugs [2] - The number of self-operated SKUs increased by 99% year-on-year to 1.61 million, with revenue growing by 19% year-on-year to 14.38 billion yuan as of FY26H1 [2] - Alibaba Health is the largest online B2C healthcare retail platform in terms of annual GMV and has revised the upper limit of its advertising service framework agreement, which will significantly contribute to profitability [1][2] Group 3: Future Opportunities - The integration of AI in health management presents new opportunities for Alibaba Health, with the potential to enhance sales through the "Qianwen Super Agent" and related applications [2] - The company is exploring serious medical applications and has launched the medical AI assistant "Hydrogen Ion" App, which may lead to commercialization through partnerships with pharmaceutical companies [2] Group 4: Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for Alibaba Health are projected at 34.594 billion yuan and 38.235 billion yuan for the fiscal years 26 and 27, respectively, with adjusted net profits expected to be 2.499 billion yuan and 3.026 billion yuan [2] - The pharmaceutical e-commerce business is assigned a 3X PS for FY26, while the healthcare and digital services business is assigned a 6X PS, leading to a target value of 7.39 HKD per share and a "Buy" rating [2]