马斯克预测：2026年底AI将直接生成二进制文件，编码职业或将消失

Core Viewpoint - Elon Musk predicts that by the end of 2026, AI will completely bypass coding and directly generate binary files, which will be more efficient than those produced by any compiler, potentially rendering coding as a profession obsolete [1][3]. Group 1: AI's Impact on Software Development - Musk suggests that future software development may eliminate the traditional coding process, with AI systems capable of completing the entire workflow from requirements to executable programs, significantly shortening the time from idea to execution [3]. - Various voices in the industry argue that AI is more likely to enhance productivity rather than completely replace programmers, with developers potentially shifting from writing code to defining problems and validating AI-generated results [3]. - Companies like Microsoft and NVIDIA are enhancing AI applications in software development, with Microsoft testing Claude Code and NVIDIA providing access to OpenAI Codex for code generation and debugging [3]. Group 2: AI as a Primary Author in Software Engineering - Cognition, an AI lab, states that AI is redefining software engineering, transitioning from merely assisting in code writing to becoming the main author of software [4]. - Cognition's co-founder reports that over 90% of their code is generated by AI, with human engineers now inputting less than 10% of the code, raising questions about the necessity of manual coding in current development processes [5]. - OpenAI has also revealed that a team delivered a product with all code generated by AI, with human engineers only involved in supervision and review, resulting in a tenfold increase in development speed [5]. - Anthropic's Chief Product Officer mentions that nearly 100% of their code is written by AI, indicating a significant shift in the coding landscape [5]. Group 3: AI's Role in Accelerating Development Processes - Spotify's co-CEO disclosed that top developers have not written any code since December of the previous year, as the company leverages AI to accelerate its development processes [6].