Group 1 - The cryptocurrency market experienced significant volatility on February 15, with over 110,000 individuals facing liquidation within 24 hours [1] - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut process is facing critical changes, with key economic indicators set to be released, including the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index and the preliminary GDP for the fourth quarter [1] - Bloomberg economists predict that the core PCE price index for December may rise by 0.3% month-on-month and reach 2.9% year-on-year, indicating a warming inflation trend towards the end of the year [1] Group 2 - Despite the impact of the U.S. government shutdown, the fourth quarter GDP growth rate is expected to reach 3.0%, surpassing the previous market expectation of 2.8% [1] - Investors are focusing on the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting minutes to assess the differing positions between officials advocating for maintaining interest rates and those supporting rate cuts [1] - Market participants have fully priced in a 25 basis point rate cut in July, with an expected cumulative reduction of approximately 60 basis points throughout 2026 [1] - The CME FedWatch Tool indicates that traders' expectations for a rate cut in June have risen to 83% [1]
2月15日超11万人爆仓 美联储降息迎变数 6月降息概率升至83%
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-02-15 15:23