CME“美联储观察”:到3月降息25个基点的概率为7.8%
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-02-16 22:20
Core Viewpoint - The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points by March is 7.8%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 92.2% [1] Summary by Relevant Categories Interest Rate Projections - The probability of a cumulative 25 basis points rate cut by April is 25.3%, with a 73.1% chance of maintaining the current rate and a 1.6% chance of a cumulative 50 basis points cut [1] - By June, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis points rate cut increases to 52.6% [1]