219票赞成211票反对！美国投票结果出来了，特朗普或再次退群

Group 1 - The U.S. House of Representatives passed a resolution with 219 votes aimed at preventing Trump from imposing punitive tariffs on Canadian goods, highlighting the deep political divide in the U.S. and the conflict between local economies and national politics [1][3] - The tariff policy, initiated shortly after Trump's second term began, was framed as a measure to combat fentanyl smuggling and protect American health, but it also revealed underlying protectionist intentions [1][3] - The manufacturing costs in the U.S. Midwest surged by 12% in Q3 2025, leading to increased prices in related industries such as automotive, putting significant pressure on suppliers and consumers [1] Group 2 - The voting outcome reflected the choices of lawmakers facing local economic pressures, with 6 Republican members voting against the resolution despite party pressure, indicating that local economic considerations outweighed party discipline [3] - Public opinion is largely against the tariffs, with over 60% of Americans opposing the imposition of tariffs on Canada, particularly in states like Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Michigan, where residents believe tariffs do not effectively combat drug trafficking but harm businesses [3][9] - The Senate's response to the House resolution remains uncertain, and even if passed, Trump is likely to veto it, requiring a two-thirds majority in Congress to override, which is currently challenging [5] Group 3 - Trump's approach to trade negotiations is characterized by a transactional logic, refusing to make concessions that would benefit other countries, using tariffs as a negotiation tool [5][9] - The interconnectedness of the supply chains, especially in the automotive sector, means that the costs of decoupling from agreements like USMCA would be high, with potential GDP losses exceeding 1% if the U.S. were to exit the agreement [7] - The ongoing debate over tariffs and trade policies is likely to continue, with public sentiment remaining against the tariffs, indicating that the political and economic landscape is fraught with uncertainty [9]