Core Viewpoint - The US dollar has experienced a slight increase for the second consecutive trading day, disregarding market expectations of approximately three interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year [1] Group 1: Market Sentiment - The options market indicates a reduction in bearish sentiment towards the dollar, with the front-end risk reversal indicator dropping to its lowest negative level in nearly a month [1] - The currency market currently anticipates that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by about 64 basis points by the end of the year [1] Group 2: Analyst Insights - Some strategists believe that the expectation of three rate cuts may be excessive, as it could exceed what is supported by economic data, posing a risk for a rebound in the dollar [1] - Elias Haddad, the global head of market strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman, suggests that the expectations for Fed rate cuts appear to be overstated, providing room for a short-term strengthening of the dollar [1] - He notes that economic growth remains robust and inflation levels continue to stay above the Fed's 2% target [1]
机构:美元持续小幅攀升 无视市场对美联储约三次降息的预期
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-02-17 08:31