BHP profit beats forecasts as copper tops iron ore

Core Viewpoint - BHP Group reported a stronger-than-expected half-year underlying profit, primarily driven by copper, which has now surpassed iron ore in earnings for the first time, due to increased demand fueled by AI and cleaner energy initiatives [1][2]. Financial Performance - First-half underlying attributable profit rose 22% to $6.20 billion, exceeding the Visible Alpha consensus of $6.03 billion [3]. - BHP declared an interim dividend of 73 cents per share, surpassing market estimates of 63 cents, with a payout ratio of 60% [3]. - Copper, including byproducts, contributed $7.95 billion to operating earnings, higher than iron ore's $7.50 billion, making up 51% of total underlying operating earnings of $15.46 billion [3]. Market Dynamics - Demand for copper is surging due to rapid growth in power use for AI data centers and the transition to cleaner energy, leading to increased competition among mining companies for high-quality copper assets [2]. - A 32% increase in realized copper prices, along with higher prices for precious metals, significantly boosted profits [4]. - Iron ore prices have recently hit a seven-month low, and unit costs for iron ore increased by 7% to $19.41 per metric ton [4][5]. Strategic Focus - BHP is focusing on organic growth options for copper and does not feel pressured to pursue mergers and acquisitions, having previously walked away from a potential acquisition of Anglo American [7]. - The company has raised its copper production forecast for the year to between 1.9 million and 2 million tons, citing strong operational performance [8]. - BHP announced an $18 billion multi-year investment plan to develop copper, gold, and silver mining projects in northern Argentina, with potential peak copper production exceeding 500,000 tons annually [9]. Partnerships and Agreements - BHP entered a silver streaming agreement with Wheaton Precious Metals for an upfront payment of $4.3 billion, part of a targeted $10 billion to be raised from existing assets to potentially enhance dividend payouts [11].