Should Extra Space Storage Stock Be in Your Portfolio Pre-Q4 Earnings?

Core Viewpoint - Extra Space Storage (EXR) is expected to report a year-over-year revenue increase in its fourth-quarter 2025 results, with no change in funds from operations (FFO) per share [1][10]. Financial Performance - In the last reported quarter, EXR achieved an FFO per share of $2.08, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.06, driven by increased revenues from higher occupancy [2]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for quarterly property rental revenues is $731.87 million, up from $707.23 million in the same period last year [4]. - The estimate for revenues from tenant insurance is projected at $88.44 million, an increase from $83.70 million year-over-year [4]. - Management fees and other income are expected to rise to $32.09 million from $30.97 million in the previous year [4]. - Overall, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for total quarterly revenues stands at $864.48 million, indicating a 5.18% year-over-year growth [5][10]. Market Position and Challenges - EXR operates in a fragmented market with significant competition, facing challenges from price-sensitive customers and lower new customer rates, which may impact earnings [5][10]. - The self-storage industry is characterized as need-based and resilient to economic downturns, benefiting from favorable demographic trends [3]. Analyst Sentiment - Over the past four quarters, EXR has beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate three times, with an average surprise of 0.76% [3]. - However, the consensus estimate for core FFO per share has decreased to $2.03, indicating no change from the previous year [6]. - The current Earnings ESP for EXR is -1.61%, and it holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell), suggesting limited potential for a positive earnings surprise this quarter [8].