Can BMY's Growth Portfolio Counter Legacy Drugs Decline in 2026?

Core Insights - Bristol Myers Squibb's (BMY) revenue performance in 2025 shows a transition with growth from new products offsetting declines in legacy drugs [1][9] - Total revenues were flat year over year, with a 17% increase in sales from the growth portfolio and a 15% decline in legacy products due to generic competition [1][9] Legacy and Growth Portfolio - The legacy portfolio, including drugs like Eliquis, Revlimid, Pomalyst, Sprycel, and Abraxane, is under pressure due to loss of exclusivity for four drugs [2] - The growth portfolio, featuring drugs such as Opdivo, Opdivo Qvantig, Orencia, and others, is crucial for maintaining revenue stability [2] Immuno-Oncology and Key Drug Performance - The immuno-oncology (IO) portfolio, particularly Opdivo, continues to show strong sales momentum due to label expansions and market share growth [3] - Opdivo Qvantig's approval has contributed to growth, with robust initial uptake across approved tumor types in the U.S. [4] - Reblozyl has achieved an annualized sales run rate above $2 billion, while Breyanzi has surpassed $1 billion in annualized sales [5] Future Outlook and Competition - Management anticipates a further decline of 12-16% in legacy sales for 2026, guiding revenues to $46.0-$47.5 billion [7] - BMY faces increasing competition in oncology from companies like Merck, particularly with the success of Keytruda [8][10] Market Performance and Valuation - BMY's shares have gained 12.7% over the past year, compared to the industry's growth of 19.6% [13] - The company is trading at a price/earnings ratio of 9.80x forward earnings, which is lower than the large-cap pharma industry's average of 18.82x [14] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 EPS has increased to $6.15 from $6.04, while the estimate for 2027 has risen to $5.94 [17]