大年初二不太平,金价银价集体崩盘,休市无交易,为何跌得这么狠
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-02-18 09:29

Core Viewpoint - The significant drop in gold and silver prices during the Chinese New Year holiday has left investors in a state of shock, as domestic markets were closed while international prices plummeted, leading to substantial losses for those holding precious metals [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - COMEX gold futures fell by 2.33%, closing at $4896.10 per ounce, and briefly touching $4857, erasing half a month's gains [3]. - COMEX silver futures experienced a more severe drop of 3.93%, with spot silver reaching a maximum decline of 5.13%, hitting $72.3 per ounce [3]. - Domestic markets, despite being closed, saw estimated declines of 1.47% for gold T+D, 1.61% for Shanghai gold futures, 3.26% for silver T+D, and 5.52% for Shanghai silver futures [3]. Group 2: Reasons for Price Drop - The primary reason for the price drop is that while domestic markets were closed for the holiday, international markets continued to operate, leading to a disconnect where domestic prices had to adjust to international declines upon reopening [5]. - A sudden easing of geopolitical tensions, particularly between the U.S. and Iran, diminished the "safe haven" appeal of gold and silver, prompting investors to sell off their holdings [6][7]. - The U.S. Federal Reserve's dovish stance and strong economic data led to a surge in the U.S. dollar, which negatively impacted gold and silver prices as investors shifted their funds to dollar-denominated assets [8]. - The absence of domestic buying power during the holiday created a liquidity vacuum, exacerbating the price drops as there were no buyers to stabilize the market [9][10]. - High leverage and margin calls forced many investors to liquidate their positions, contributing to a downward spiral in prices [11][12]. Group 3: Investor Sentiment - The stark contrast in experiences during the holiday highlighted the distress among precious metal investors, who faced significant losses while others enjoyed festive celebrations [13][14]. - Despite the short-term volatility, the long-term fundamentals for gold and silver remain intact, with ongoing central bank purchases and a potential future shift in monetary policy [14][15].