楼市或将进入到一个调整期？已经买房的家庭，应当提前做好准备

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese real estate market, which has seen over two decades of continuous growth, is now experiencing a significant downturn, with average housing prices declining by over 15% since last year [1][3]. Group 1: Market Trends - Since the housing reform in 1998, average housing prices have surged from 2,000 yuan per square meter to 11,100 yuan, marking an increase of 5.5 times [1]. - As of August, 50 out of 70 major cities in China reported a month-on-month decline in new residential prices, indicating a widespread "devaluation tide" in the housing market [1][3]. Group 2: Demographic Factors - China is entering a phase of deep aging, with the population aged 60 and above reaching 267 million by the end of 2021, accounting for 18% of the total population [3]. - The decline in the younger population, particularly those born in the 1990s and 2000s, has led to a historic low in marriage rates, directly impacting the demand for housing [3]. Group 3: Economic Conditions - The ongoing pandemic and economic downturn have resulted in layoffs and salary cuts, leading many families to postpone home purchases [3]. - A survey by the People's Bank of China indicates that most respondents prefer saving money in banks rather than investing or consuming, further contributing to the decline in housing demand [3]. Group 4: Government Policies - Local governments are actively promoting the construction and supply of affordable housing to support low-income groups, which is expected to significantly divert demand from the commercial housing market [5]. - The introduction of shared ownership housing, where ownership is shared between individuals and the government, aims to reduce the financial burden on buyers [5]. Group 5: Regulatory Environment - Despite some cities relaxing real estate regulations, the impact has been minimal due to the stringent controls implemented since 2016, with a total of 651 regulatory actions by 2021 [7]. - The traditional view of homeownership in China encompasses various social attributes beyond mere residence or investment, making it a priority for families with economic capability [7].