'Dr. Doom' Nouriel Roubini Changes His Tune, Sees 4% GDP Growth By 2030 - NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA)

Group 1 - Nouriel Roubini predicts U.S. GDP could approach 4% by the end of the decade, driven by a technology revolution rather than fiscal stimulus or deregulation [1] - Roubini estimates that productivity gains from technology could increase U.S. potential growth by 200 basis points, while tariffs and immigration policy could drag it down by 50 basis points, emphasizing that "Tech trumps tariffs" [2] - Prediction markets show skepticism about Roubini's optimistic GDP growth forecast, with a 24% chance of recession by the end of 2026 and only a 6% probability of growth exceeding 4% in 2026 [3] Group 2 - Roubini warns that the benefits of AI and automation may lead to a decrease in labor's share of income, resulting in a collapse of aggregate demand as workers lose purchasing power [4] - He suggests that Universal Basic Income may become necessary as a solution to manage permanent structural unemployment, indicating a need to redistribute wealth from winners to losers to avoid potential social unrest [5] - If Roubini's predictions hold true, a 2% productivity boom could justify capital expenditures and present current market selloffs as buying opportunities [6]