中国向全世界证明,美国的关税大棒,全砸自己头上了,难怪要访华
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-02-19 14:15

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing US-China tariff war, initiated by the US to curb China's development, has resulted in unexpected outcomes that starkly contrast with initial US predictions [1][3]. Group 1: Economic Resilience of China - Despite the tariff pressures, Chinese factories are operating at full capacity, demonstrating strong resilience in the face of trade challenges [4]. - Reports indicate that as of mid-February, Chinese factories are busy fulfilling export orders, primarily destined for the US, with major ports showing increased activity compared to previous years [6]. - Data from January shows a significant increase in China's industrial output, with both domestic and export orders experiencing rapid growth, unaffected by tariff factors [8]. Group 2: Impact of Tariffs on the US - A report from the New York Federal Reserve reveals that the average tariff on US imports has risen from below 3% to 13% by 2025, with nearly 90% of the tariff burden falling on US companies and consumers, contradicting claims that foreign firms bear the costs [14]. - From January to November, US importers absorbed 94% to 86% of the tariff costs, leading to increased production costs and domestic inflation, particularly in categories like clothing and electronics, where price increases have reached 37% to 40% [16]. - The adverse effects of the tariff policy have prompted many US companies to lobby for tariff removal, indicating a significant shift in the US stance as economic pressures mount [19]. Group 3: Strategic Miscalculations and Future Outlook - The US has overestimated the deterrent effect of tariffs while underestimating China's industrial resilience and the realities of global trade dynamics [21]. - As some US allies adopt more pragmatic approaches towards China, the US is likely to reassess its trade strategy, suggesting a potential transition to a "post-tariff phase" in US-China trade relations [21]. - The conclusion drawn from this trade conflict is that hegemonic thinking is no longer suitable for the current global economic landscape, and cooperation based on mutual benefit is essential for resolving the ongoing stalemate [23].