Ge Long Hui·2026-02-20 01:53Core Viewpoint - The report from Guotai Junan Securities provides a "Buy" rating for Xunce (3317.HK) with a target price of HKD 104.78, reinforcing its positioning as the "Chinese version of Palantir" and highlighting its leading status and long-term value in the real-time data infrastructure sector driven by AI large models and applications [1] Group 1: Valuation and Growth Potential - The report employs both PE and PS valuation methods, referencing comparable companies like Palantir and Snowflake, resulting in a target market value of HKD 33.8 billion and a target price of HKD 104.78, indicating over 50% upside potential from the report's publication date [2] - Revenue projections for the company are set at HKD 1.183 billion, HKD 2.177 billion, and HKD 3.311 billion for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 87%, 84%, and 52% respectively, indicating a clear growth trajectory [2] Group 2: Market Position and Industry Leadership - The company is recognized as a leading provider of AI real-time data infrastructure in China, offering solutions for real-time data processing and analysis, capable of collecting, cleaning, managing, analyzing, and governing heterogeneous data within seconds [3] - According to Frost & Sullivan, the company holds the top position in the Chinese real-time data infrastructure and analytics market, with an 11.6% market share in the asset management sector, achieving full coverage of the top ten asset management firms in China [3] Group 3: Product Flexibility and Diversification - The company's products are highly modular, with over 300 functional modules developed by the end of 2025, allowing for flexible combinations into seven core solutions that cover both data infrastructure and asset management applications [4] - The company is accelerating its expansion into diversified industries such as financial services (beyond asset management), urban management, production management, and telecommunications, with revenue from diversified sectors reaching 61% in 2024, becoming a major growth driver [4] Group 4: Market Opportunity and Growth Rate - The report highlights that the rapid development of AI large models and applications is increasing the demand for real-time, unified, and efficient data processing platforms, with the current penetration rate of the real-time data infrastructure and analytics market in China being less than 4% [5] - The market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 46.1% from 2020 to 2024, reaching a size of HKD 50.5 billion by 2029, with a projected CAGR of 22.0% from 2024 to 2029, indicating a vast market opportunity [5]