Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is facing a significant wave of lock-up share releases in February and March 2026, with many companies experiencing high percentages of shares being unlocked, potentially impacting stock prices and market sentiment [2][4]. Group 1: Companies Facing High Unlock Ratios - Several companies, including Mirxes-B, Nanshan Aluminium International, and Jiangsu Hongxin, have over 50% of their total share capital subject to unlock, indicating substantial potential selling pressure [2][3]. - The first tier of companies with high unlock ratios includes Different Group (84.67%), Nanshan Aluminium International (80.59%), and Jiangsu Hongxin (68.19%) [3]. Group 2: Market Impact and Investor Behavior - The upcoming unlocks may lead to market panic selling, particularly for small-cap stocks and loss-making companies, as investors may preemptively sell to mitigate risk [9]. - Companies with lock-up commitments, such as Mirxes-B, may experience reduced selling pressure due to commitments from founders and cornerstone investors to hold their shares for an extended period [5][9]. Group 3: Long-term Implications of Unlocks - The unlocking of shares may lead to a more diversified shareholder structure, reducing the risk of concentrated ownership and enhancing corporate governance transparency [10]. - Ultimately, the long-term impact on stock prices will depend on the companies' fundamentals, growth prospects, and industry conditions, rather than solely on the unlock events [10][11].
开年迎考验：港股2-3月限售股大规模到期，影响几何？