Is It Time to Buy Palo Alto Networks Stock on the Dip?

Core Viewpoint - Palo Alto Networks has experienced a significant decline in stock price, down over 25% in the past year, and further dropped following its recent fiscal Q2 earnings announcement, raising questions about potential investment opportunities [1]. Financial Performance - For fiscal Q2 2026, Palo Alto reported a revenue increase of 15% year over year, reaching $2.59 billion, which was at the high end of its forecast [5]. - Service revenue grew by 13% to $2.08 billion, with subscription revenue up 14% and support revenue increasing by 12% [5]. - Product revenue rose by 22% to $514 million, driven by growth in software firewalls [5]. - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) surged by 27% year over year to $1.03, exceeding guidance of $0.93 to $0.95 [6]. Strategic Acquisitions - Palo Alto is actively pursuing a platformization strategy, acquiring companies to enhance its cybersecurity solutions [3]. - Recent acquisitions include Chronosphere for real-time data monitoring and CyberArk for privileged access, with a new acquisition of Koi for AI enterprise endpoint security solutions announced alongside the earnings report [3][4]. - While these acquisitions strengthen the company's market position, they are expected to negatively impact EPS in the short term due to the stock component of the CyberArk deal [4]. Future Guidance - The company updated its full-year guidance, projecting revenue growth of 22% to 23% for fiscal 2026, with a revised revenue forecast of $11.28 billion to $11.31 billion [8]. - The next-generation security annual recurring revenue (ARR) is expected to reach $8.52 billion, reflecting a growth rate of 53% to 54% [9]. - Adjusted EPS guidance was lowered to $3.65 to $3.70, indicating a growth rate of 9% to 11% [9]. Valuation and Investment Outlook - The recent drop in stock price has led to a more attractive valuation, with a forward price-to-sales ratio of 9 times fiscal 2027 estimates and a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 33 times 2027 estimates [10]. - Despite initial EPS pressure from acquisitions, these strategic moves are viewed as beneficial for long-term growth, suggesting that current stock levels may present a buying opportunity [10][11].