美联储3月维持利率不变的概率为95.9%
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-02-22 22:11
Core Viewpoint - The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points by March is 4.1%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 95.9% [1] Summary by Relevant Categories Interest Rate Projections - By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut rises to 16.4%, with a 83% chance of maintaining the current rate and a 0.5% chance of a cumulative 50 basis point cut [1] - By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut increases to 44% [1]