Costco Stock Is Soaring, but Is It Getting Ahead of Itself?

Core Viewpoint - Costco Wholesale is experiencing strong digital sales growth, but concerns about its high valuation persist due to slower overall sales growth [1][4]. Group 1: Sales Performance - In January, Costco reported a 34% year-over-year increase in digitally enabled sales, indicating the effectiveness of its e-commerce platform [1]. - Total net sales grew by 9% year over year in January and 8% in the fiscal first quarter ending November 23 [4]. Group 2: Stock Performance and Valuation - After a recent pullback, Costco's stock is up approximately 15% year to date, driven by increased consumer spending on high-margin items [2]. - The stock is currently trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 53, and 49 using forward earnings estimates, which is considered expensive given the company's growth rates [4]. - Earnings per share have grown at an annualized rate of 11% over the past three years, with long-term earnings growth projected at about 9%, which is low for a stock priced around 50 times earnings [5]. Group 3: Investment Considerations - The stock is priced for flawless execution and robust earnings growth, which is not currently occurring, suggesting caution for potential investors [6]. - It may be advisable to monitor Costco and consider purchasing at a lower valuation [6].