Broadcom Shares Rise 60% in a Year: Is There More Room for Growth?

Core Insights - Broadcom (AVGO) shares have increased by 60% over the past 12 months, significantly outperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's return of 25.2% and the Zacks Electronics – Semiconductors industry's return of 53.2% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - AVGO's gross margin guidance for fiscal 2026 is soft due to a higher mix of AI revenues, a sequential decline in non-AI semiconductor revenues, and modest growth expectations for the Infrastructure Software segment [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 earnings is $10.25 per share, indicating a 50.3% growth from fiscal 2025, with revenues expected to reach $95 billion, suggesting a 48.7% growth [10] - For the first quarter of fiscal 2026, earnings are estimated at $2.03 per share, reflecting a 26.9% growth year-over-year, with revenues projected at $19.27 billion, indicating a 29.2% growth [11] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - AVGO faces strong competition from NVIDIA, AMD, and Skyworks, with NVIDIA benefiting from demand for its Hopper and Blackwell architectures, and AMD seeing growth from its EPYC and Instinct processors [5] - Skyworks is experiencing increased demand across edge IoT, automotive, and infrastructure markets, further intensifying competition for AVGO [5] Group 3: Growth Drivers - Broadcom's growth prospects are bolstered by rising AI revenues, with expectations for fiscal 2026 AI revenues to double to $8.2 billion, supported by a backlog exceeding $10 billion [6][7] - The company has launched innovative products, including the first Wi-Fi 8 silicon solutions and next-generation BCM4918 processing units, enhancing its portfolio in broadband and 5G infrastructure [8] - AVGO's networking portfolio is benefiting from strong demand for Tomahawk 6 products and has a rich partner base that includes major companies like OpenAI, Walmart, and NVIDIA [9] Group 4: Valuation and Investment Outlook - AVGO shares are trading at a premium valuation, with a forward price/sales ratio of 14.71X, compared to the sector's 6.47X and the industry's 8.36X [12] - Despite margin headwinds, Broadcom's expanding AI portfolio and strong partner relationships indicate solid top-line growth potential, justifying the premium valuation [15] - Broadcom currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), suggesting that investors should consider accumulating the stock [16]