据CME“美联储观察”：美联储到3月维持利率不变的概率为96.0%

Core Viewpoint - The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points by March is 4.0%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 96.0% [1] Group 1 - By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut rises to 17.3%, with an 82.1% chance of keeping rates unchanged, and a 0.6% chance of a cumulative 50 basis point cut [1] - By June, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut increases significantly to 46.8% [1]