华尔街见闻早餐FM-Radio | 2026年2月24日

Market Overview - Concerns over AI and renewed risks from trade wars led to a decline of at least 1% in all three major US stock indices, with financial and software stocks dragging down the market [2] - IBM's stock plummeted 13%, marking its largest single-day drop in 25 years, due to threats posed by Anthropic's products to programming languages [2][9] - The financial sector fell over 3%, with American Express down more than 7% and KKR dropping nearly 9% [2] - Retail stocks sensitive to tariffs also fell, with Wayfair down nearly 10% [2] - European and UK stock indices dropped from record highs, with Novo Nordisk's stock falling over 16% after trial results showed its weight loss drug was less effective than Eli Lilly's [2] US Treasury and Currency Markets - US Treasury yields rebounded, with the 10-year yield approaching a three-month low [3] - Following the Supreme Court's overturning of Trump's tariffs, the US dollar fell from a four-week high over two days [3] - The offshore RMB rose above 6.89, nearing a three-year high [3] AI and Technology Developments - Anthropic announced its Claude Code tool could modernize Cobol systems, causing IBM's stock to drop significantly [9] - Nvidia launched a new laptop chip aimed at re-entering the consumer PC market, focusing on lightweight designs with long battery life [22] - ASML revealed breakthroughs in EUV light source technology, potentially increasing chip production by 50% by 2030 [22] Trade and Tariff Developments - The US Customs announced it would stop collecting tariffs deemed illegal by the Supreme Court starting February 24 [19] - The Democratic Party aims to block any attempts to extend tariffs and is pushing for a refund scheme for previously paid tariffs [19] - The European Parliament has paused the approval of the US-EU trade agreement, with the UK potentially facing the largest impact from new tariffs [20] Private Equity and Market Conditions - Bain & Company reported that the private equity industry is facing a prolonged downturn, with a backlog of $3.8 trillion in assets [24] - The report indicated that profit return rates have dropped to a 16-year low, and investor expectations have risen to a 20% return threshold [24] AI and Economic Predictions - A hypothetical report from Citrini Research suggested that while AI productivity may exceed expectations, it could lead to significant job losses and economic contraction by 2028 [21] - The report triggered a sell-off in various sectors, including food delivery and payment software, as investors reacted to potential risks associated with AI [21] Robotics and AI Applications - The performance of humanoid robots during the Spring Festival Gala highlighted significant advancements in hardware, with expectations for a surge in shipments from 20,000 to 76,000 units by 2026-2027 [29] - The introduction of AI capabilities in robotics is anticipated to drive further applications and market growth [29]