今晚，成品油零售限价或上调

Core Viewpoint - The domestic retail price of refined oil is expected to increase significantly, marking the third consecutive price hike since 2026, driven by rising international crude oil prices and geopolitical tensions [1][2]. Group 1: Price Adjustment Details - The upcoming adjustment on February 24 is projected to exceed the adjustment threshold of 50 yuan per ton, indicating a high likelihood of price increases [1]. - Analysts predict that gasoline and diesel retail prices will rise by 175 yuan and 170 yuan per ton, respectively, translating to increases of 0.14 yuan, 0.15 yuan, and 0.14 yuan per liter for 92-octane gasoline, 95-octane gasoline, and 0-octane diesel [1]. - This adjustment will result in a total increase of 290 yuan for gasoline and 280 yuan for diesel compared to the end of 2025 [2]. Group 2: Market Influences - The overall trend of international crude oil prices has been strong during the current pricing cycle, influenced by geopolitical tensions that have led to a risk premium in the market [1]. - The reference crude oil price change rate has reached 3.98% as of February 23, indicating a significant upward trend in pricing [1].