美联储降息预期下修，恒生科技指数ETF、恒生互联网ETF开年走低

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Technology Index ETF (513180.SH) and the Hang Seng Internet ETF (513330.SH) have started the year on a downward trend, with major stocks like Alibaba, Tencent, and Xiaomi facing adjustments [1] - Following the Chinese New Year holiday, the market has shown weak performance due to revised expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which is particularly impactful for the Hong Kong stock market sensitive to external liquidity [1] - The Federal Reserve's January meeting minutes revealed significant divergence among officials regarding future policy outlook, leading to a market perception that the pace of interest rate cuts may slow down in the short term [1] Group 2 - The initial jobless claims in the U.S. indicate that the employment market remains resilient, which is a key focus for the Federal Reserve during the interest rate cut cycle, resulting in reduced expectations for rate cuts [1] - The December PCE data released on February 20 exceeded expectations, reinforcing the view that the Federal Reserve may pause interest rate cuts, with market expectations for a June rate cut dropping to 45.6% and postponing the cut to July [1] - The Zhang Xia team from China Merchants Securities commented that while short-term expectations for Federal Reserve policy may fluctuate, the most significant phase of liquidity shock has passed, and once rate cut expectations stabilize, the Hong Kong market will benefit significantly [1] Group 3 - Investment tools focusing on Hong Kong technology-related ETFs include the Hang Seng Technology Index ETF (513180.SH), the Hang Seng Internet ETF (513330.SH), and the Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology ETF (159101.SZ) [2] - The Hang Seng Internet ETF (513330.SH) targets major internet companies in Hong Kong such as Alibaba, Baidu, Tencent, and NetEase, while the Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology ETF (159101.SZ) also includes leading innovative pharmaceutical companies [2] - These ETFs are listed on mainland stock exchanges and support T+0 intra-day trading, providing A-share investors with low-threshold access without the need for cross-border accounts or currency exchange [2]