特朗普关税“B计划”遭质疑，专家：美国经济现状并不符合“122条款”

Core Viewpoint - The Trump administration has initiated a "Plan B" to impose tariffs of up to 15% on global imports after the U.S. Supreme Court rejected the use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) for this purpose, raising legal and economic concerns regarding the legitimacy of this action [1][2] Group 1: Legal and Economic Context - The new tariff measure allows the president to bypass investigation procedures but is constrained by a 15% tax rate cap and a 150-day validity period, leading to anticipated legal challenges from businesses seeking refunds for tariffs already paid [2] - The Trump administration's invocation of Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974 is based on claims of a "huge and serious" trade and international balance of payments deficit, including a net international investment position (NIIP) of negative $26 trillion [1][3] - Legal experts argue that the current economic conditions do not exhibit typical symptoms of a balance of payments crisis, such as currency collapse or capital flight, which raises questions about the applicability of Section 122 [1][4] Group 2: Historical and Regulatory Framework - Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974 was designed to allow the president to act without waiting for federal agency investigations in response to significant balance of payments deficits or imminent currency devaluation, with a historical context dating back to the Nixon Shock [6] - The limitations of this section include a maximum tariff rate of 15% and a maximum implementation period of 150 days, requiring congressional approval for any extension, which poses challenges for the sustainability of the new tariffs [6] Group 3: Economic Implications - Economists challenge the rationale behind the tariffs, arguing that the negative NIIP is largely due to foreign holdings of U.S. assets being significantly higher than U.S. holdings of foreign assets, and that a successful tariff implementation could paradoxically worsen the NIIP [4] - The absence of evidence indicating that the U.S. cannot meet its international obligations suggests that there is no actual "crisis," as a genuine crisis would typically lead to a sell-off of U.S. assets and a significant depreciation of the dollar [4]