金银价格攀升，特朗普新一轮关税“混乱”加剧了美国本已“严峻”的预算赤字

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Supreme Court's rejection of Trump's import tariff policy has led to a decline in global stock markets, while gold and silver prices surged to three-week highs [1] Group 1: Market Reactions - Following the Supreme Court's ruling, spot gold prices increased by 1.0% at the end of Friday trading and surged by up to 1.3% on Monday morning, reaching a high of $5,176 per ounce before dropping by $30 [1] - Silver prices rose approximately 3.9% to $87.84 per ounce, marking a two-week high, after a 3.6% increase at the end of Friday [1] Group 2: Fiscal Implications - The Supreme Court's decision is expected to increase the U.S. fiscal deficit by approximately $2 trillion, as stated by Maya MacGuineas, chair of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget [1] - As of January 2026, the U.S. federal budget deficit was reported at $600 billion, a 20% decrease compared to the same period last year, attributed to higher income tax revenues and tariff measures implemented under Trump's emergency powers [10] - The ruling may also pose a risk of over $175 billion in potential tax refunds, according to the Penn Wharton Budget Model [10] Group 3: Economic Outlook - The fourth quarter GDP annualized growth rate for the U.S. was reported to have dropped significantly to 1.4%, while the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation rate accelerated to 3.0% year-over-year [10] - RBC Capital Markets indicated that the tariff ruling could alleviate inflation concerns, potentially allowing the Federal Reserve more room to lower interest rates [10] Group 4: International Trade Dynamics - U.S. officials, including trade representative Jamieson Greer, stated that the Supreme Court's ruling would not disrupt existing agreements, although there is significant confusion within the U.S. government regarding trade policies [11] - The European Parliament's trade committee chair, Bernd Lange, expressed concerns over the uncertainty faced by the EU and other U.S. trade partners due to the current situation [11]