财通证券：燃气内燃机主电调峰产业趋势形成 看好全产业景气度

Core Insights - The report from Caitong Securities highlights the increasing demand for gas turbines and gas internal combustion engines due to their higher efficiency and lower electricity costs, which are suitable for regional peak shaving and large cluster base load power supply [1][2] - There is a significant supply-demand gap in the gas turbine market, with major manufacturers like GE, Siemens Energy, and Mitsubishi Heavy Industries having full order books extending to 2029, while global demand is projected to exceed 80 GW by 2025, with only about 50 GW of actual deliverable capacity [2][3] Group 1: Gas Turbines - Gas turbines are positioned as the primary source for base load power due to their minute-level response capabilities, while gas internal combustion engines are suitable for peak shaving with second-level response times [1] - The global market for gas turbines is expected to face a supply-demand imbalance, with a projected demand of nearly 100 GW for GTCC combined cycle gas turbines, while the supply remains constrained [2] Group 2: Gas Internal Combustion Engines - Companies like Caterpillar, Cummins, and Wärtsilä are expanding their production capacities, with Caterpillar aiming to double its combined capacity of gas and internal combustion engines from 25 GW in 2024 to 50 GW by 2030 [3] - The demand for gas internal combustion engines is driven by the growth in AIDC, mining heavy trucks, and off-grid electricity needs, with Caterpillar already securing multiple large data center orders [3] Group 3: Related Companies - Key players in the gas internal combustion engine sector include Weichai Power, China Power, and Weichai Heavy Machinery, while gas turbine solutions are provided by companies like Jerry Holdings and Dongfang Electric [4] - Core component manufacturers include Yingliu Technology, Haomai Technology, and Wanze Shares, with additional players in the heat recovery steam generator market [4]