今明两年，到底是赶紧卖房还是努力买房？曹德旺给出忠告：不要再犹豫了

Core Viewpoint - The real estate market is experiencing a significant downturn, with average national housing prices dropping over 30%, prompting discussions on whether to sell or buy properties in the coming years [1][3]. Group 1: Market Conditions - Housing prices are declining across the country, including major cities, indicating a clear downward trend [1]. - The market is characterized by a significant bubble, particularly in second and third-tier cities where the price-to-income ratio is between 20-25, and in first-tier cities where it exceeds 40, making homeownership increasingly unattainable for local residents [5]. - The real estate market is in a state of oversupply, with 600 million houses available, which could accommodate 60 billion people if each house housed 10 individuals, coupled with millions of new homes entering the market annually [8]. Group 2: Economic Factors - The general economic environment is weak, with many sectors experiencing layoffs and salary reductions, leading to stagnant or declining income growth among the populace, which cannot support current high housing prices [9]. - There is a shift towards more rational home-buying behavior, with demand for irrational purchases decreasing, contributing to a shrinking real estate demand and increasing downward pressure on prices [9]. Group 3: Market Sentiment - The real estate market has lost its profitability appeal, with prices declining since 2022 for four consecutive years, leading many speculators to sell off excess properties [10][12]. - The number of second-hand homes listed for sale is expected to exceed 8.5 million by January 2026, indicating a lack of confidence in future price recovery and further increasing downward pressure on housing prices [12].