香橼狙击闪迪:当成英伟达来炒?别做梦了,你卖的只是大宗商品!
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2026-02-25 03:06

Core Viewpoint - SanDisk (SNDK.US) has faced a significant challenge from Citron Research, which has established a short position against the company, arguing that the market has mispriced its stock amid a super cycle in storage chips [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Citron Research asserts that the market is pricing SanDisk similarly to Nvidia (NVDA.US), despite the latter having a competitive moat, while SanDisk's products are considered commodities [2]. - The demand and price surge for NAND flash memory is viewed as a typical cyclical phenomenon, nearing its peak, with historical precedents from 2008, 2012, and 2018 suggesting a similar outcome this time [2]. - Citron warns that the current supply shortage of NAND memory could quickly reverse, potentially disappearing after a single earnings call [2]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Samsung Electronics (SSNLF.US) is identified as a major threat to SanDisk, with Citron highlighting Samsung's strategy of prioritizing market share over profits for 30 years [2]. - Samsung is reportedly shifting tactics to directly compete in SanDisk's core market, indicating they will not sell products below a 50% gross margin and are moving their best chips into the high-end SSD market [2]. Group 3: Investor Sentiment - Concerns have been raised regarding the ongoing sell-off by Western Digital (WDC.US), a long-term investor and former parent company of SanDisk, which is divesting its remaining shares at prices 25% below current levels [3]. - Citron suggests that Western Digital's actions indicate a recognition that the cycle is nearing its peak, contrasting with the bullish sentiment being promoted to retail investors [3]. Group 4: Financial Performance - SanDisk recently reported a second-quarter earnings that exceeded Wall Street expectations, driven by strong demand for enterprise SSDs, and provided an optimistic outlook for the third quarter [4]. - The upcoming third-quarter earnings report, scheduled for May 15, is seen as a critical moment for assessing market confidence and the direction of the industry [4].

Nvidia-香橼狙击闪迪:当成英伟达来炒?别做梦了,你卖的只是大宗商品! - Reportify