马年投资锦囊|平安基金莫艽：深度研究丈量价值，以终局思维穿越周期

Core Viewpoint - The interview with Mo Qiao, a fund manager at Ping An Fund, emphasizes the importance of deep research and a robust investment framework to navigate market noise and identify investment opportunities [3][4]. Group 1: Fund Performance - Mo Qiao's representative fund, Ping An Enjoy Flexible Allocation Mixed Fund, achieved a return of 21.18% in 2024, ranking in the top 5% among 425 funds, while the CSI 300 index rose by 14.5% and the equity mixed fund index by 3.5% during the same period [3]. - In 2025, during a challenging market for value-style products, the fund maintained a positive return of 24.57% [3]. - The maximum drawdowns for the fund were 15.8% in 2024 and 12.8% in 2025 [3]. Group 2: Investment Philosophy - Mo Qiao aims for an annualized return of 15% over the next decade, highlighting that few fund managers achieve this consistently [4]. - He identifies five core areas for investment: artificial intelligence, autonomous driving, robotics, commercial aerospace, and solid-state batteries [4]. - The investment strategy is described as "using DCF as the principle and four methods as the tools," focusing on deep research to define value ranges [4][5]. Group 3: Research Methodology - The DCF model's effectiveness relies on accurately predicting future growth variables, which necessitates extensive research to clarify a company's intrinsic value range [5]. - Mo Qiao emphasizes that intrinsic value is not a single point but a range, and deep research is essential to refine this understanding [5]. - He follows the Kelly Criterion for dynamic position adjustment based on stock prices relative to their intrinsic value range, advocating for a flexible approach to investment [5][6]. Group 4: Value Investment Strategy - Mo Qiao critiques the focus on low P/E and P/B ratios, warning that it can lead to "value traps," and asserts that price comparisons to intrinsic value are more critical [6]. - He insists on investing only in high-quality companies, as they have a higher probability of maintaining excellence compared to poor companies [6]. - The strategy includes a focus on "absolute left-side investment," prioritizing undervalued quality companies, especially in sectors with low economic sentiment [9]. Group 5: Research Impact - Mo Qiao's research approach is characterized by detailed documentation, producing extensive reports that cover all aspects of a company, from business models to competitive dynamics [7][8]. - This method allows for a deep understanding of various industries, even those previously unexamined, enabling quick adaptation to new market conditions [8]. - The investment style, combining deep research with flexible strategies, has garnered trust from both institutional and individual investors, creating a self-reinforcing cycle of research, cognition, and trust [9].