美政府被曝酝酿新关税，涉伊最新制裁名单发布！铂强、钯稳格局延续

Group 1: U.S. Tariff Policy - The U.S. government is preparing to impose new tariffs on various industries following a Supreme Court ruling that deemed its large-scale tariff policy illegal [2] - The Department of Commerce is initiating investigations under the Trade Expansion Act of 1962, focusing on products such as large batteries, cast iron, plastic pipes, and industrial chemicals [2] - The U.S. Trade Representative's office is also starting new trade investigations under the Trade Act of 1974, which may lead to additional tariffs due to perceived unfair trade practices [2] Group 2: U.S. Sanctions on Iran - The U.S. Treasury Department has announced sanctions against over 30 entities, individuals, and oil tankers to combat what it describes as illegal oil sales from Iran [3] - The sanctions coincide with upcoming indirect negotiations between the U.S. and Iran, indicating a continued strategy of maximum pressure on Iran [3] Group 3: Platinum and Palladium Market Trends - The global platinum group metals market is experiencing a strong upward trend, with platinum and palladium prices rising significantly, with platinum surpassing $2300 per ounce and palladium stabilizing around $1880 per ounce [4] - Supply constraints are identified as a key driver of this price surge, with over 75% of global platinum supply coming from mining, primarily in South Africa, and 76% of palladium supply from Russia and South Africa [4] - Demand for platinum and palladium is shifting, with a projected 12% decrease in demand from gasoline vehicles by 2026, while the penetration of hybrid vehicles is accelerating [4] Group 4: Macroeconomic Influences on Precious Metals - The potential for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve is seen as supportive for precious metal prices, with expectations of at least two rate cuts in 2026 [5] - Geopolitical tensions, including potential military conflicts, are contributing to a risk-averse sentiment that supports platinum and palladium prices [6] Group 5: Future Price Projections - Short-term projections indicate that platinum prices may remain strong due to supply disruptions and Fed rate cut expectations, while palladium prices may face downward pressure due to demand shifts towards electric vehicles [6] - Long-term outlook suggests that platinum will maintain a supply shortage due to increasing demand from hydrogen energy applications, while palladium may face oversupply as its primary use in gasoline vehicles declines [6][7]