Nvidia's forecast points to accelerating growth, as Vera Rubin starts hitting market
NvidiaNvidia(US:NVDA) CNBC·2026-02-26 01:55

Core Viewpoint - Nvidia continues to experience significant revenue growth, reporting its 11th consecutive quarter with revenue growth exceeding 55%, driven by strong demand for its AI chips [1][2]. Financial Performance - Nvidia's year-over-year revenue is projected to surge approximately 77% this quarter, reaching around $78 billion, marking the fastest growth rate since January 2025 [2]. - Revenue in the fourth quarter increased by 73%, surpassing estimates, following a 62% growth in the previous quarter [3]. - The data center business, which includes Nvidia's AI graphics processing units, now constitutes over 91% of total sales [3]. Product Development - The company is ramping up production of its next-generation AI system, Vera Rubin, which is expected to deliver ten times more performance per watt compared to its predecessor, Grace Blackwell [4]. - Nvidia has already shipped its first Vera Rubin samples to customers and anticipates widespread deployment among model builders and cloud providers [6]. Market Position and Competition - Nvidia's shares remained stable after an initial rise, reflecting high investor expectations, with the company valued at nearly $5 trillion due to its leadership in AI processors [8]. - Competition is emerging from Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), which plans to release its first rack-scale AI system, Helios, later this year [8]. - Major customers like Amazon and Google are developing their own in-house AI chips, posing a potential risk to Nvidia's future results [9]. Future Outlook - Nvidia expects growth this year to exceed previous projections for a $500 billion revenue opportunity between its Blackwell and Rubin systems [6]. - However, growth is anticipated to slow significantly beyond fiscal 2027, dropping from 63% this year to 30%, 11.5%, and 3% in the following three years [9]. - The company has not included any potential data center revenue from China in its forecasts due to uncertainties surrounding export controls [13][15].

Nvidia's forecast points to accelerating growth, as Vera Rubin starts hitting market - Reportify