吹牛108分钟破纪录！特朗普只字不敢提中国，承认美国输不起了？

Core Viewpoint - Trump's recent State of the Union address, lasting 108 minutes, notably avoided direct mention of China, reflecting a strategic calculation amid ongoing trade tensions [1][4][9] Trade and Tariffs - Trump emphasized his "trade achievements" and the importance of trade agreements with various countries, excluding China, which has historically been a primary target [1][4] - The U.S. has imposed tariffs on Chinese goods totaling several hundred billion dollars, but these measures have not yielded the expected results, leading to increased domestic inflation and significant costs borne by American consumers [4][6] - The average tariff on Chinese goods reached nearly 40%, yet 93% of the tariff costs were ultimately shouldered by U.S. consumers, resulting in numerous lawsuits against the government for over $175 billion [4][6] Strategic Silence on China - Trump's avoidance of discussing China during the address indicates recognition of China's resilience against U.S. tariff pressures and its ability to maintain strategic stability [1][6][9] - The U.S. Supreme Court's ruling against Trump's use of "national emergency" to impose tariffs has diminished his leverage, complicating any future tariff actions against China [6][8] Upcoming Diplomatic Engagement - Trump's anticipated visit to China in late March to early April is seen as a critical opportunity to secure a significant trade deal and bolster his political standing [6][8] - The lack of formal confirmation from China regarding the visit adds a layer of uncertainty, prompting Trump to exercise caution in his rhetoric to avoid jeopardizing the potential agreement [6][8] Future Trade Relations - Despite the current silence on China, the U.S. is reportedly planning to utilize alternative measures, such as Section 301 investigations, to address trade issues, indicating that the competitive dynamic with China remains unchanged [8][9] - Trump's strategic silence can be interpreted as a tactical retreat aimed at paving the way for future negotiations, acknowledging the shift towards a more balanced trade relationship between the U.S. and China [9]